Poker is a game of inches.
One wrong read or one wrong move and you could lose your entire stack.
I just finished one of my best sessions yet. I was confronted with a tough decision early on for about 20% of my chips. This was not my biggest pot of the night, but it was a close call.
A new player joined the table to my immediate right. I have never played with this person before.
I am generally cautious of new players until I get a read on what types of hands they play. I have also been burned in the past by new players that get dealt A-A or K-K for their first hand. In other words, I have mistaken their aggressiveness as establishing a table image by raising their first hand as opposed to them having a monster hand.
The new player limps in on his first hand.
I raise to $20 pre-flop with 10-10 in middle position.
A player on the button calls and my new friend also calls.
Three-way action to flop, we get Kh-9-h-2s.
The new player checks to me.
I bet $40.
The button folds.
The new player raises me another $100 by going all-in.
I look at him and ask if he is on a flush draw.
I get no verbal reaction, but I could sense weakness in his eyes.
After talking through the possible hands he could have, like A-A, K-K, or A-K, I then do the math.
The math does not work. I have potentially 2 outs to the turn, which makes me just about a 9-to-1 underdog to win assuming he has A-A or A-K.
If he has a set of Kings, I am a 989-to-1 longshot to win the hand with runner-runner 10s.
If this player had A-A or K-K, I am sure he would have re-raised pre-flop to get us heads-up. Very few players would “just call” with those kinds of hands.
Big Slick is plausible, but not likely, I decide. Most players, myself excluded, would re-raise with A-K.
I can’t put him on 9-2. Only a donkey would play that hand.
Of course, I have been beaten more times than I care to count with K-2. Perhaps he has two pair.
A set of 9s or deuces is most likely here.
No matter how I read it, I figure I have two outs.
I then go to feel. It just feels like he is trying to buy it. I just feel like my 10s will prove to be the winning hand.
I call.
Before we can get our cards turned over, the dealer puts another King on Fourth Street and a blank on Fifth Street.
My opponent proudly shows his pair: he flopped two pair with 9c-2c.
I show Kings and Tens for a better two pair.
As I am stacking his chips, I get a speech.
“How could you call that with a King out there?”
I grin and ask “How could you call a pre-flop bet of 10 times the big blind with nine-deuce?”
Of course, I got the standard donkey reply, “It was suited.”
And he was felted.






